PhD Final Seminar - City-wide Simulations of Distributed Photovoltaic Power Production

I've just successfully completed my PhD defence seminar, and am excited to share with you the results of my thesis project.

It sure is tough to fit a description of everything that I've accomplished over the past four years into an hour long seminar.  Well, in fact, it's impossible!  So much goes into a PhD thesis (dissertation), and only the author themselves will truly understand all the work that went into it.

But I think I've managed to do a good job getting the best of the best information into a manageable format - and I'll be able to share a video of the final seminar with you in a few weeks.  But for now, I'd like to get the slides up on the web, and post some of the simulation videos.

In the shortest summary possible: I've created a simulation system for Canberra PV installations, which uses a subset of monitored PV systems (approximately 80-160 systems, depending on the site availability/date) to simulate 12,500+ PV arrays.  The installed PV arrays are based on data provided by ActewAGL (local utility/distributor) about the rated capacity and suburb-level location of each install through December 2012. 

The heart of the simulation system is an application of the KPV methodology, which uses the power output from one PV system to simulate the performance of another nearby PV system. I've published a paper on the topic in Solar Energy  for those of you who are interested in the more technical side of things.

For now, I'm going to stop writing, post the slides and simulation videos, and let them speak for themselves.  I hope you enjoy them:

[download presentation]

Presentation Slides:

Presentation Videos: Simulations

Video of a a clear sky day for all PV systems installed in Canberra. The images you see are the result of using ~70 PV systems to simulate the remaining 12,500. 

Video of a high variability day where broad convective clouds moved through Canberra. 

Video of a positive ramp event resulting from fog dissipation in Canberra. The images you see are the result of using ~80 PV systems to simulate the remaining 12,500. 

Video of a negative ramp event resulting from convection moving into Canberra. The images you see are the result of using ~140 PV systems to simulate the remaining 12,500. 


/*